Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 0.242234 0.285831 0.332304 0.385254 0.443634 0.505773 0.576647
2024-10-20 0.180512 0.238581 0.304967 0.385364 0.478996 0.583565 0.708132
2024-10-27 0.142032 0.209284 0.291308 0.396073 0.523748 0.671875 0.854274
2024-11-03 0.114053 0.187033 0.281689 0.408525 0.569261 0.761739 1.005163
2024-11-10 0.092371 0.168577 0.273464 0.420340 0.613011 0.850063 1.156609
2024-11-17 0.070131 0.144627 0.254093 0.414614 0.632644 0.908104 1.271989
2024-11-24 0.055864 0.129529 0.244505 0.420073 0.665678 0.982835 1.409081
2024-12-01 0.042149 0.111952 0.228465 0.414184 0.681959 1.035387 1.518477
2024-12-08 0.029821 0.093275 0.207659 0.398683 0.682971 1.066673 1.600116
2024-12-15 0.023947 0.085555 0.203435 0.407183 0.717345 1.142565 1.740670
2024-12-22 0.017169 0.073409 0.189574 0.398984 0.726451 1.183643 1.835406
2024-12-29 0.014751 0.071007 0.192923 0.418332 0.776422 1.281643 2.007406
2025-01-05 0.010830 0.063069 0.184894 0.418654 0.798495 1.342405 2.132140
2025-01-12 0.007929 0.056562 0.178594 0.421172 0.823682 1.407893 2.264350
2025-01-19 0.006256 0.053232 0.178351 0.434031 0.865122 1.497215 2.430550
2025-01-26 0.004963 0.050509 0.178949 0.448200 0.908802 1.590351 2.603160
2025-02-02 0.003864 0.047787 0.179086 0.461350 0.951046 1.682006 2.774868
2025-02-09 0.002398 0.041485 0.169571 0.455596 0.962219 1.728139 2.883379
2025-02-16 0.001633 0.038052 0.166459 0.461626 0.992574 1.802812 3.032738
2025-02-23 0.000880 0.032847 0.157573 0.455475 1.002150 1.846402 3.138379
2025-03-02 0.000329 0.026667 0.144267 0.439015 0.993257 1.861565 3.203218
2025-03-09 0.000180 0.024854 0.143418 0.448132 1.028254 1.943664 3.364886
2025-03-16 0.000043 0.020859 0.134579 0.439410 1.031683 1.977238 3.456631